Green Our Vaccines - update
The Green Our Vaccines Rally in Washington went off as expected. According to journalist and Vaccine author, Arthur Allen there were around 1500 in attendance. This news channel said there were hundreds but I watched the whole march go past on a traffic cam and estimated no more than 2000 so I will go with Arthur’s figure. Do the numbers matter? I think so. The autism-vaccine connection has been espoused for at least 10 years now. There are around 5000 cases in the Autism Omnibus Proceeedings. Over half of these were filed in a single year (2003) and since then numbers have dropped steadily.
| Fiscal Year | Non-Autism | Autism | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| FY 1988 | 24 | 0 | 24 |
|
FY 1989 |
1 | 0 | 1 |
| FY 1990 | 29 | 0 | 29 |
| FY 1991 | 118 | 0 | 118 |
| FY 1992 | 186 | 0 | 186 |
| FY 1993 | 137 | 0 | 137 |
| FY 1994 | 106 | 0 | 106 |
| FY 1995 | 179 | 0 | 179 |
|
FY 1996 |
84 | 0 | 84 |
|
FY 1997 |
103 | 0 | 103 |
|
FY 1998 |
116 | 0 | 116 |
|
FY 1999 |
405 | 1 | 406 |
|
FY 2000 |
161 | 0 | 161 |
|
FY 2001 |
196 | 18 | 214 |
|
FY 2002 |
189 | 768 | 957 |
|
FY 2003 |
153 | 2,436 | 2,589 |
|
FY 2004 |
126 | 1,088 | 1,214 |
| FY 2005 | 146 | 587 | 733 |
| FY 2006 | 154 | 169 | 323 |
| FY 2007 | 241 | 169 | 410 |
| Total | 2,931 | 5,393 | 8,324 |
Table of petitions filed is taken from The National Vaccine Injury Compensation Program Statistics Reports
This shows that there was a very brief flurry in which thousands of parents signed up to the view that their child’s autism was vaccine related followed by a sharp decline. I find this table interesting for two reasons.
First, if either the increasing burden of vaccines themselves or the increasing burden of ethyl mercury in the thiomersal containing vaccines (TCVs) was behind the increase in autism prevalence that was recorded throughout the 1990s it is not apparent in the number of petitions filed for compensation. Whatever the reason for the increase in prevalence parents at the time did not connect their child’s autism to vaccines.
Second, once the idea of an autism epidemic was mooted and vaccine damage was posited as a possible cause, lots of autism parents looked back and said, “Maybe.” And a significant few said, “Definitely,” and took action. Hence the bulge in the statistics for vaccine damage claims.
At the same time scientists carried out studies and found no connection between vaccines and autism. Consequently very few additional parents have jumped onto the vaccine-autism bandwagon. So we have a highly motivated group of parents, brought together by circumstances at a given moment in time, who now feel marginalized. They are convinced that they are right and equally convinced that they are victims of a conspiracy to deny them justice.
This is why the numbers are significant. A growing campaign, fuelled by new recruits would have attracted a far bigger crowd than the one seen in Washington this Wednesday. What we saw instead was a rump of increasingly embattled activists who sustain each other via a shared mythology. The more they are challenged the closer they cling together. They comfort themselves with the thought that science is on their side. But in reality they can only maintain their world view by their denial of science.
